This is what's happened in Kevin Correia's last four starts: 22 innings, 12 walks, four strikeouts, four home runs. He failed to get out of the fifth inning in one start. He failed to get out of the fourth inning last night, which was one night after Brad Lincoln turned in a solid spot start against the Marlins and two days after Rudy Owens tossed eight strong innings in Indianapolis.
Correia has turned in a couple of decent starts this year and even his last start before last night's debacle (his showdown with Stephen Strasburg at PNC Park) wasn't a bad start, but pretty much everything Correia's done this year looks like a bright red flag to me. His strikeout rate is down by quite a bit for the second year in a row (it was 7.14 in his last year with San Diego, 4.5 last year, and after tonight it's 3.15 this year). Not only that, but his strikeout percentage is dropping, too (17.9% to 11.7% to 8.7% before last night's debacle). The completely whacked out K/BB ratio from his last few starts says to me that he's not fooling anyone and that hitters are either waiting for him to make mistakes and hitting them or waiting for him to miss the strike zone. His results thus far may not be as bad as the peripherals suggest, but there's absolutely no reason to think that Correia's going to improve at this point in his career, especially given how much his peripherals declined last year.
The Pirates need to get Correia out of the rotation now and put Lincoln or Owens in his spot. Owens deserves a shot and they need a longer look at Lincoln as a starter. If they keep trotting Correia out there every fifth day, it's going to be ugly. It's going to be hard to watch. It'll be humiliating for Correia. Worst of all, the Pirates' and their awful offense can't afford what Correia's currently bringing to the table every fifth day. They've got to make this change now, before things get worse.
How about this idea? Hanrahan is now at his highest value so while the team is in Detroit (a team than has lost numerous games to its bullpen) that the pirates offer Hanrahan + (Alex Presley or Garrett Jones) for a bat? I am not sure who Detroit can offer, but Pirates need a bat so maybe this is doable?
Kevin Correia is a bad major league pitcher. He still has some value because he's a major league pitcher, so I don't think they should cut him. It's time to find out whether or not Lincoln, Owens or someone else can become at least what Correia is, if not more. Easy solution to me is to swap Lincoln into Correia's rotation spot and send Correia to the bullpen.
Going to have to agree and was saying the same thing last night to anyone who would listen. He looks just downright bad. Very uncomfortable and missing his spots. Batters are laying low and waiting to pounce on the grapefruit he is putting in the sweetspot almost every at bat. Lincoln has done well and so has Owens. Give someone else a chance.
Just as an aside, I'm sure some folks have read the article in the Trib today by RB about the lack of hitting depth even in Triple-A. Huntingdon says no trades (right now) and we need to make it work from within. I don't know about you but I am comfortable riding this out for now. However, when guys like Cole and Taillon come on up the majors if we don't have some offense then pitching won't save us. Sure they will help but without offense, or with our current offensive pedigree, we will remain under .500 or not much above. Hope we come up with some good moves to acquire some real bats in the near future, even if AA or AAA players.
I agree--look, the Pirates are not contenders this year, and Correia is not going to be taking the ball every fifth day when they are contenders. At this stage, you know what he is--a back-end rotation guy on a lower-tier team, maybe a swing man on a good team. All he's accomplishing in the rotation is depriving the club of opportunities to evaluate the guys who might be valuable contributors when the club is in the postseason hunt.
It really looks to me as though he is struggling with every pitch. Could he be injured, an not telling anyone?
Despite the results being not really disastrous until last night, he's looked like a ticking time bomb on the mound. It makes it hard for me to want to watch a game he's pitching.
The idea is good, but it's waaaaaay too early to make a deal like that. That's a deadline deal you make when contenders--and some contender will always need bullpen help--are both a little desperate and willing to bid against each other. A little panic will net you a lot better return.
Hanrahan, Bedard, and Presley for a AAA bat who is being blocked. If we are trading pieces away to a team who will compete for the postseason than we need to collect a young hitter who will hang around for more than 5 years. If you want to rebuild then you build on solid foundation, not shifting sand. No more trades that don't net us a longterm piece.
@SamSpunkmeyer I kind of wondered the same thing. Though "injured" and "tank running completely empty" might not look that different.