Pirates may have deal with Nicaraguan prospect Cuthbert

Written by Pat Lackey on .

Some interesting news is cropping up on the Latin American front, as Kiley McDaniel, who's covering the Latin American market for Baseball Prospectus this year, reported early this afternoon that the Pirates had come to an early agreement with Chesler Cuthbert, a third baseman from Nicaragua, for a $750,000 signing bonus that's expected to be announced on July 2nd. In an earlier article (both links are BP subscribers only), McDaniel rated Cuthbert as the #11 in terms of likely signing bonuses this summer, so he's clearly one of the more sought after talents in Latin America this summer.

What followed McDaniel's original article was an interesting exchange that highlights the real power behind some of the new social networking tools on the internet. Both McDaniel (@kileymcd) and ESPN's reporter covering the Latin American market, Jorge Arangure (@jorgearangure) have Twitter accounts and they began discussing Cuthbert this afternoon, with Arangure tweeting that the Royals were the favorites to sign Cuthbert, that the Pirates often visit Nicaragua and their presence there last week didn't necessarily portend a deal, and that it seems unlikely that they'll spend more on two players this year (Cuthbert and Sano) than they have in the entire previous history of their Latin American investigations. McDaniel responded by saying that he didn't disagree, but he'd heard Cuthbert attached to us for $750,000 in several places, and he'd had another call tonight that said the same thing.

The result is an interesting conversation between two of the more mainstream guys that cover this market about one of the prospects, unfolding in real time and for anyone to read. This makes two things pretty clear to me. One is that the internet is awesome, the second is that there's a ton of uncertainty in this market. Arangure and McDaniel both have plenty of contacts in the Latin American scouting world and they weren't really arguing over this, they were agreeing that they had come upon different, conflicting information and that the other could be right. As much as we can read and speculate and talk about this sort of thing, there's really no way of knowing what's going to happen on July 2nd.

Game 70: Indians 5 Pirates 4

Written by Pat Lackey on .

To begin with, near comeback against a terrible bullpen is no reason to get excited about what was an otherwise terrible baseball game. We'll get to said comeback in a minute, but first we should focus on the terrible parts.

If we're going to do that, Ian Snell is certainly the place to start. Yes, Steve Pearce played some awful defense that got Snell into hotter water than he deserved to be in in the third inning, but without any ability to throw a breaking ball for a strike (PitchFX puts him down for just 8 of 20 sliders in the strike zone), the runs that scored on Pearce's misplay would've scored anyways. With the bases loaded, Jhonny Peralta up, and the count even at 2-2, Bob Walk remarked, "Well, you know Ian's going to try and pound the outside corner with his fastball now." He did, and Peralta watched the pitch go outside for ball three. Being forced to put the next pitch over the plate, Peralta hit a two-run single and Snell's night was over very early.

Complicating things was another struggling pitcher dominating the Pirates. David Huff is a decent prospect, but he certainly was having his share of trouble with the Indians before slicing through the Pirates for eight innings tonight, allowing just four hits in the process. If he hadn't needed 112 pitches, he would've easily finished the shutout.

As it went, though, he did need 112 pitches and with a 5-0 lead, Eric Wedge didn't see any need to have him finish the game. That was a nearly disastrous decision that lead to Adam LaRoche standing at the plate with the bases loaded and two outs in a 5-4 game before just missing Kerry Wood's 3-2 fastball and flying out to right field to end the rally and the inning. The rally had a bit of everything; LaRoche homered to start the inning, Jack Wilson and Andrew McCutchen had huge singles, and McCutchen got far enough into Wood's head that he managed to walk both Nyjer Morgan and Freddy Sanchez before finally putting the fire out. Particularly impressive was Moss's second big pinch-hit in as many games (which means he's still hitting well after his four-hit outing on Saturday, even if JR won't play him against lefties) and McCutchen's at-bat against Wood, leading to an RBI single on a night he was previously 0-for-4.

All that said, a rally against Matt Herges and Kerry Wood really isn't all that impressive, especially on a night when so many other things went wrong.

Once upon a time, this series was important to people

Written by Pat Lackey on .

As much as everyone is saying that the Indians/Pirates series this week isn't a big deal, it still is to me. Growing up smack between Cleveland and Pittsburgh, I was always tempted by the awesome Indian teams of the 90s to give up my allegiance to the Pirates and turn to the dark side. I was incredibly jealous of my friends that were Indians' fans. The second reason this series is important is because watching the Pirates piss away the whole summer losing baseball games is not fun, and having lost five of six and dropping to eight games below .500, the Pirates are in immediate danger of doing so (again). They now face off against a last place team with the chance to pull out of this skid. If they don't, well, I don't see things turning around for a while.

Anyway, this series gets kicked off when Ian Snell and David Huff, both guys that have been pretty disappointing this year, take the moundat 7:05 tonight.

The Miguel Angel Sano situation gets complicated

Written by Pat Lackey on .

I don't know how many of you saw this on Friday, but the Twins have asked Major League Baseball to look into what they consider to be irregularities in Miguel Angel Sano's age documentation and MLB has agreed to do an investigation. The general idea is that the Twins say that they believe it's possible that Sano's mother had a child named Miguel Angel Sano that died at birth and that the player currently thought to be Sano is an older teenager using the dead child's birth certificate to appear younger.

It's important to remember that right now, this scenario posed by the Twins seems incredibly unlikely. As the original blog post (ESPN Insider only) points out, Dominican laws requires children to be "declared" before a birth certificate is issued meaning that most children that die during birth wouldn't have birth certificates. This coupled with the fact that the Pirates have done their "bone-graft test" (that's in quotes because I have no idea what it is, not because I doubt the veracity of it), which has shown that he's between 16 and 17 seem to indicate pretty strongly that the Twins are just trying to cover all their bases with a 6'3" 16-year-old before offering him a seven-figure signing bonus.

Despite all this, Jorge Aragure, who posted the story at ESPN about the investigation, still thinks the Pirates are the favorites to sign Sano, and in an interview on Tyler Hissey's podcast shortly before the allegations went public, Kiley McDaniel (who's covering the Latin American market for Baseball Prospectus) indicates that there aren't many questions about Sano's age and reiterates that the Pirates have had the most interest, though ten teams may be willing to go as high as $3 million.

All of this kind of gives me the gut feeling that little has changed with Sano, even with this pending allegation. If MLB does find reason to think he's older than he claims, he'll be suspended for a year. I'm still not sure that's likely and part of me wonders (WARNING: BASELESS SPECULATION AHEAD) if the Twins didn't ask for an investigation to try and drum up uncertainty and scare other teams off. In the interview I posted above, McDaniel doesn't shy away from the "Latin Stephen Strasburg" label and when you read that Cards' GM John Mozeliak flew to the DR to watch him in person, it really gives an idea of how interested other teams are in this kid.

That being said, he's still just 16 years old and I'm still a little slow to agree with people who say that the Pirates HAVE TO SIGN HIM, LEST OUR FUTURE BE CAST INTO THE FIERY PITS. Seeing how the Pirates operated the second day of the draft, I don't really feel that their success in the draft is tied to Sano, assuming they can get a decent number of the high school pitchers signed.

All of this is mostly a reminder of what Sano is; a great young talent that I'd certainly rather have in the Pirates' organization than out of it, but a free agent nonetheless. If he ends up signing somewhere else, that doesn't mean that the Pirates failed to sign him, necessarily, but jsut that he picked another team. As much as he seems to have a relationship with Rene Gayo and be interested in the Pirates', he has an American agent who's telling him just what the Pirates are and what a future with them might mean. If he doesn't sign, we'll sign other free agents in Latin America, and we'll hope that they pan out. Just because a kid is the most highly touted when he's 16 doesn't mean he's going to be the best player.

Pedro Alvarez promoted to Altoona

Written by Pat Lackey on .

Earlier today, the Pirates announced that Brad Lincoln would be moving from Altoona to Indianapolis. Given Lincoln's dominance of the Eastern League this year, this was unsurprising news. Much more surprising, however, is the news (via John Perrotto) that Pedro Alvarez is being promoted from Lynchburg to Double-A Altoona.

Alvarez, who was given the day off today, was off to a good but unimpressive start with the Hillcats, hitting .247/.342/.486 with 14 homers and 70 strikeouts in 284 plate appearances with Lynchburg. The power numbers are great, but the strikeouts are pretty troubling, especially for a guy who's biggest rap as a college hitter was his tendency to swing and miss a little bit too much. There has been some thinking, though, that the high strikeout rate is a product of lower quality pitchers focusing solely on Alvarez and feeding him a heavy diet of breaking pitches. In certain cases, some prospects get sick of walking and start swinging at everything, creating a line like the one Alvarez has put up so far in Single-A.

I haven't seen Alvarez play (and actually, I don't know many people that have), so I'm a little slow to give him the benefit of the doubt on something like that. If you look at his splits, his numbers have improved in May and June, but his strikeouts really haven't. That's not to say that I'm convinced that's not the case either, I just don't know enough about the situation to make a judgment either way.

It's certainly possible he'll go to Altoona and start destroying the ball and I'm more than rooting for that, but as his K's and inconsistent performances kept piling up with Lynchburg, I've started to mentally adjust my expectations for him downwards towards a Carlos Pena-type three true outcomes big league career.

The question I currently have deals with the reasoning behind the promotion. Was it done because Kyle Stark, Huntington, and whoever else figures in on this decision think that the Single-A pitching was affecting Alvarez's development and not aiding his growth? Or was it done because they hope that's the case and they don't know what else to do with him?

Game 69: Rockies 5 Pirates 4

Written by Pat Lackey on .

For as good as the 3-0 lead that the Pirates raced out to on the strength of Andrew McCutchen and Freddy Sanchez, I had a sense in the early innings that it was not going to be Paul Maholm's day. It certainly was not and after the Rockies took their 5-3 lead in the fourth, the rest of the game kind of felt like a lost cause.

If nothing else, this weekend sweep at the hands of the Rockies is just more evidence tht the Pirates have a long ways to go before anyone will consider them a "good" team. On Friday, their offense was shut down by Jason Marquis. On Saturday, their bullpen melted down in miserable fashion. On Sunday, one of their better starters got blasted. Three days, three losses, three different methods. The off-day tomorrow is going to be a much-needed one.

Day 3 in the Rockies

Written by Pat Lackey on .

I've said this one a few other occasions this year, but with four losses in five games and last night's bullpen debacle, the Pirates really need a win today to sort of shore things up here and keep from falling into another June swoon. Paul Mahom takes the mound in the unenviable position of feeling that he has to do it all on his own if the bullpen can't be trusted, and he faces Jorge De La Rosa, who's been pretty awful over the last two months except in his one start against, you guessed, the Pirates.

Game 68: Rockies 9 Pirates 7

Written by Pat Lackey on .

I got home last night at just after 11 PM, so I did what I normally do on nights like that and flipped the TV on to the Extra Innings channel while loading up MLB.com to see if the Pirates were still on. I saw that not only where they still on, but they were winning 7-4 in the eighth inning AND the game was on the HD channel. Triple score!

I turned the game on as the ball Chris Iannetta hit was literally in the air and headed over the fence to make the score 7-7. This was not a good sign. When the Pirates came to the plate in the top of the ninth, I thought to myself, "We have to score here, or we won't win." We didn't score. Then Todd Helton hit a ball about 800 feet while the stupid, pompous Rockies' announcers freaked out about how relevant the Rockies were again now that they'd won 15 of 16 and pulled to within, oh, 9 1/2 games of first place. Yeah, they didn't mention that. This is one of those games that we thought would probably happen coming into the season, but since our  'pen has been better than expected, the end of that game last night kind of hit like a sledgehammer.

On the bright side, it seems like Charlie Morton pitched well last night. PitchFX measured his fastball as averaging 92 mph and the graph shows that he topped that number quite a bit. His curve and changeup also seemed to give a nice change of pace with some movement, so we can call this an encouraging first start, I think, given his line for the night (2 ER in 5 innings with 2 BB and 5 K). He also got some good backing defense from Nyjer Morgan and Andrew McCutchen, while 'Cutch added his fourth triple of the year with the bases loaded in the seventh.

Those brigh spots don't make this loss much easier to swallow, though.

Charlie's back

Written by Pat Lackey on .

Charlie Morton gets the second start of his Bucco career tonight, which hopefully will last longer than his first. he matches up with ex-Ray Jason Hammel. Don't forget this one starts at 8:10, not 9:10 like last night.