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Report: Pirates still after Baldelli E-mail
Written by Pat Lackey   
Wednesday, 07 January 2009 16:47

Dejan reports this afternoon that the Pirates are still in the mix to sign Rocco Baldelli. I was actually going to write something up this afternoon about their odds to get him increasing after the Reds re-signed Hairston and the Rays saying they've about hit their payroll ceiling, but I'll take actual reporting over having to speculate any day.

It seems like the choice for Baldelli is whether he wants (or is healthy enough) for regular playing time. In Pittsburgh he could almost certainly be the starting left fielder over Nyjer Morgan, while the AL teams that are interested in him are mostly contenders like the Red Sox and Yankees. If he's not completely healthy yet, he may want to stay in the American League where he wouldn't be expected to play daily and could DH from time to time. If he is healthy, I have to think he'd be interested in playing for a team like the Pirates where he could prove his health and given his age (he turned 27 in September), parlay that into a longer-term, bigger money deal.

I'd still like to see Rocco in a Pirate uniform for the same reason that Oliver Perez piqued my interest last night. I think a lot of people are misunderstanding some of my more recent posts to mean that I think that the Pirates should completely ignore the major league club until the players in the minors are ready. That's not my argument at all. What I've been trying to say is that the focus, and most of the resources, should go into the developing the minor leagues because the big league club can't contend right now. Therefore, signing a player like Pat Burrell or keeping a player like Jason Bay, who are both good hitters and not terribly old but have very limited upside and limited interest in being in Pittsburgh at this point in their careers, is a waste of time and especially a waste of money for the Pirates.

Baldelli represents something different. He's an unknown quantity with a huge ceiling that won't command a big salary this year due to his injury past. The potential is there to for him to improve the big league club immediately and if he does turn out to be healthy, the Pirates would have an inside track at keeping him here if things go well with the team. Since he's 27, it's not entirely out of the question that he could be useful if the Pirates begin to turn things around next year or the year after. If he's healthy and playing well and indicates no desire to stay in Pittsburgh, we can always trade him.

That line of thinking was why I asked about Perez. Yeah, he's asking for eight figures, but if Pat Burrell and Bobby Abreu aren't getting $11 million and Ollie's a free agent in February, that asking price is going to come down. And he's still only 27 (he's just two months older than Baldelli). The point made by Bishop in my post from last night is probably the truth: Ollie's had five years in the league and there's just not a lot to indicate that he can duplicate 2004, which makes him a waste of our time.

I'm sure as hell not interested in Braden Looper or even Derek Lowe or Andy Pettitte or Bobby Abreu, but that doesn't mean that there's not any interesting players for the Pirates in free agency.


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Comments (18)add comment

Handsome Sam said:

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Yeah, Ollie's basically an average, erratic lefty, but he's an average, erratic lefty who's only 27, throws really hard, hates the St. Louis Cardinals and has obvious emotional problems. How can you not love the guy?
 
January 07, 2009
Votes: +0

mocasdad said:

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The point made by Bishop in my post from last night is probably the truth: Ollie's had five years in the league and there's just not a lot to indicate that he can duplicate 2004, which makes him a waste of our time.


Ollie was putting fannies in the seats in 04, so in yet another of Littlefield's bonehead decisions, OP was allowed to increase his IP count by over 70 compared to both of the previous years.

I'm not a stats wonk, but I know I've read that the recommended year over year IP increase for young pitchers is in the 25-30 innings range.

He wasn't too shabby in 07, unless you dislike 15 game winners who K 179 while walking only 79. With our defense, it would be nice to have a strikeout pitcher. However, his 105 BBs last year are worrisome, and probably tell much of the story about his slippage.

As for Baldelli, I'd have no problem with him.
 
January 07, 2009
Votes: +0

Captain Easychord said:

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most of the resources, should go into the developing the minor leagues because the big league club can't contend right now.


is this even possible? I mean, if you put $10 million into the draft, $10 million into international signings and another $10 million into the minor league teams, scouting, etc... you're still not going to hit the major league payroll (not to mention other expenses for the big club)... isn't there a practical limit on how much can actually be spent developing the farm system?
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

Captain Easychord said:

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er... that was supposed to read TEN million (with the dollar sign, a one and a zero)...
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

Pat said:

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That was bad phrasing on my part, Captain Easychord (it's what happen when I blog from work). It should be the human resources focusing on the minors now, but all I really meant was that there's no point in wasting financial resources to sign free agents that aren't going to help the team compete. I don't mean Ramon Vazquez by that, but rather more of a Jeromy Burnitz-type signing that's spending money just to spend money when it might be spent in a better place somewhere down the road.

 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

Bishop said:

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Pat - Rocco Baldelli is exactly the kind of free agent signing I can get behind; he's still got intriguing upside, is not going to break the bank, and if he turns out to be OK, they might be able to get him locked in for a few years, which he might take as security.

What I, and I think you are advocating as well, is the Pirates need to avoid the big dollar guys who are not going to either a) be impact players when the team is actually able to contend or b) be significant upgrades to what they already have. Bobby Abreu is a fine hitter, albeit with some serious defensive deficiencies, but is throwing 8-10 million at him really going to change the outcome of the 2009 season? They're still going to suck, and he may be worth 2-3 extra wins; most of the "stats" that get focused on when talking about Abreu are his RsBI, with his six-season streak of 100+, but does anyone think he is actually going to drive in that many runs in the 2009 Pirates lineup. He has been able to do that because he batted in a lineup the past few years behind Jeter, A-Rod, Giambi, Damon, etc.; things would get a lot different when he's are batting behind McLouth, Sanchez and LaRoche.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

Dr. Mattitude said:

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I'd like us to sign Baldelli for all the good reasons mentiond such as his upside and low financial risk and for the fact that we have too many simple names (excluding Nyjer Morgan) playing for us. "Rocco" would be a welcome change to "Nate, Jack, Adam, Andy, Ryan, Paul, Zach, and Tom."

I know, I'm not that funny. Oh well. On another note, who do you guys think would be a better signing, Oliver "The Mexican Enigma" Perez for 3 years at 8 mill per or Pedro Martinez for 2 years at 10 mill per?
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

w.k. kortas said:

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You sign Pedro Martinez, you better have some damn fine long relief, 'cause Pedro can't even go five anymore
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

bwzimmerman said:

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i want 'em both. i'm greedy and i know there's money available.

however, !!!NYJMO!!! is gonna rock all y'all. you'll see... we are but spectators to the Next Most Awesomest Rickey Henderson Rickey Henderson Show.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

gregschuler said:

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In some respects - there is no limit on how much you can improve a farm system simply by pouring in money. You could go out and add another affiliation, hire more and better coaches (not likely since Kyle Stark and Troy Buckely are apparently very domineering and have no desire to be questioned by anyone. It's back to the party line, moreso than under Graham) and add scouts to scour the land. All of which would theoretically improve the organization and at some point, the MLB club.

From a rules standpoint, there is no limit on spending on anything in the MLB. Even the big league payroll is unlimited if you don't mind a bit of revenue sharing tax. But that's a crazy land the Pirates will never ever get to, so it's irrelevant.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

gregschuler said:

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You mean Ramon Vasquez too, since he is pretty useless at his price range. The only way Vasquez makes sense is if the Pirates trade Jack Wilson, which they won't be able to do until mid-season and even then, it will be for payroll relief.

And when did Bay become a useless old player? Quite a change in tune, it would appear.

The goal of the organization should be to improve the talent level across the board - end of discussion. It should be to win. You can do all of this at once. Who exactly was Jeromy Burnitz blocking? No one. It might not make sense to some of the intelligentsia to not want to provide a decent product to the paying customers, but from a business perspective, Burnitz made sense.

There seems to be a real disconnect between the average fan and those ambitious enough to run a blog. I find the defense of this organization by some baffling - what exactly have the Pirates done to make people defend them? Sell low om Bay? Play hardball and then cave in to Boras after violating the CBA to sign Alvarez? Sign a few extra draft picks to above slot bonuses? If that is all it takes, man, the Pirates will have it easy.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

gregschuler said:

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Do we know that Baldelli won't break the bank? Fine, sign him for a low risk one or two year deal - and then what? He still has a few years of arbitration left and if he rehabs and becomes healthy and productive - he's a 29 yo OF with a clean bill of healthy and those fiv e tools. He'd be out of Pittsburgh so fast it wouldn't even be funny. Or traded for chaff at the trade deadline like Bay.

In the meantime, all Baldelli would have done is push Morgan to the bench - where he should be to begin with. It's not a given that Baldelli would have improve the roster one iota (and yes, I do understand risk/reward) but Baldelli could be as meaningless a signing as Reggie Sanders.

The Pirates should go out and sign Adam Dunn - he hits homers, is still young and even though he "hates baseball" (Marty Brenneman is an old doddering fool) he would immediately improve the Pirates more than Baldelli. If the free agent prices are plummeting as some suggest, strike now. Otherwise, the MLB payroll will have suspiciously shrunk - again. And plenty of people refuse to call the Pirates on that fact.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

Bishop said:

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My point was that Baldelli was not going to run this team 8 - 10 million per year like an Abreu or Dunn would, thus not breaking their bank, albeit a self-imposed bank.

As we've seen with Tampa Bay and Florida, payroll size has very little to do with on-field success. So what if the Pirates' payroll shrinks? Should they go out and sign some big-ticket free agents just so they keep their payroll at a specific level, even though said signings will not do anything to meet the stated long-term goal of NH, which is to create a system by which the team can consistently compete through development of their own players through the draft and Latin America? If NH goes out and violates his core belief just to keep Ron Cook, Mark Madden and the casual fans happy , then he is just as bad as Littlefield. They have to stick to rebuilding, 100 percent, or else we are going to be back to picking up the Pete Schoureks and Derek Bells of the world, trying in vain to maintain a "legitimate" MLB payroll while not actually moving the team in a positive direction.

I'd much rather they have a 20 million dollar payroll and squirrel away the rest of the money for future use than spend it on fading stars (Abreu, Griffey, et al) or guys with delusions of grandeur (Ollie Perez).
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

BSpar said:

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NO! Ramon Vazquez is well worth the cost. He may not have the offensive numbers of some free agents. Due 100% to his lack of ability to hit LHP. He should never see a left handed pitcher the rest of his career. He can eat up RHP, and from the left side with dead pull power could put up very good numbers at PNC. PNC plays very similar to Arlington for LHH.

His ability to play multiple positions, especially SS with a + glove is well worth the money. Our MI depth is horrendous at best. Bixler needs to play everyday to work the bugs out or bust, not at the ML level but at AAA.

Vazquez, though not a "sexy" or "big time" signing is well worth 2 million a year, to sure up the MI. that last year looked like water going thru a sieve. Vazquez serves an important role until some of our prospects reach the higher levels of the minors. He is a quality 23, 24, 25th man at a very small cost overall.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

BSpar said:

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Perez would be a solid signing at 8 mil per year. He would only be 30/31 at the end of the contract, and perhaps mature a little to the point where it was an excellent contract value.

Regardless 8 mil is nothing on Perez, and would not be too difficult to unload if necessary.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

gregschuler said:

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Two million for a 32 yo player who had a career year offensively in a ballpark that inflates offense at approximately 7 percent and judging by his defensive metrics is decidedly below average? How does that make a lick of sense? It only makes sense if he plays everyday and Vazquez won't do that ahead of Wilson or Sanchez - who are going to start the season in Pittsburgh.

If Bixler really is toast and the Pirates didn't want to do better than wasting money on a redundantly mediocre player like Vazquez - why not? It's not my money, after all. But if the goal is to "rebuild" or "improve", Vazquez does neither. He is a more expensive version of Gomez and Rivas, but won't be that much better to warrant a guaranteed multi-year deal.

Imagine how many reality show contestants and baseball players from places that don't play baseball the Pirates could have signed for two million. Mind boggling.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

gregschuler said:

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Provide legitimate solid irrefutable proof that the money squirreled away is actually going to be there at a later date. Unless you can, it's simply the same dreadful propaganda the organization has been spewing for many years. Same for spending more on the minors and draft - the Pirates spent more last year, but they had to after the Moskos debacle. In fact, the spending in the minors is probably less because the Pirates are hiring less experienced and I'm guessing cheaper coaches and staff that willingly abide by the Stark-Buckley regime.

Is Dunn better than Morgan? It's a simple question - yes. Is Dunn more capable of helping the Pirates win more games in 2009 than Morgan (or anyone else on the roster)? Yes.

Your opinion is such a minority that you fail to see that the team cannot stand more losing seasons and the treadmill of "rebuilding". The organization can absolutely do two things at once - it can rebuild and it can concentrate on putting together a capable team at the MLB level. Unless the sole goal of the regime is to simply lose and put together assured profits from revenue sharing - in that case, anyone that supports the team is a "useful idiot" (thank you, Comrade Stalin for that endearing term).

If the team is going to rebuild, you don't dicker over what extra C level prospect you are demanding for Jack Wilson - you take Hu and Young and move on. You make every effort to unload the carcass of Sanchez and you try as desperately as possible to find someone that will take LaRoche. This is what you do, and maybe you even put McLouth on the market - when the Pirates are good in 2012 (optimistically) he'll be starting the downside of his career, so why even bother.

This team as it stands now has a legitimate shot at a 100 loss season. If the Pirates do that, they are dead. Another 90 loss season tears apart another large chunk of the casual fan-base that won't have much money to spend anyway. The only hope is to put a better product on the field or be completely honest and rebuild from the ground up instead of half-assing it.
 
January 08, 2009
Votes: +0

BSpar said:

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The ball park he payed in last year really only inflates Right Handed hitting. For Left handed hitters the Park Adjustment is the same for PNC and Arlington. Actually across the board in the NL Central, with the exception of Milwaukee I believe, all parks play very well to left handed hitters.

Vazquez should not be an everyday player, no way. He would see too much left handed pitching, which would negate his value. His offensive value is against Right Handed Hitting, 846 OPS in 08. Which is actually nice due to the fact that he becomes more usable. Overall there are more RHP than LHP in baseball.

I don't know where you got you defensive metrics from or which ones you are using. But for the most part Defensive metrics are so,so when it to being reliable. But if we use range factor, Fielding % and Zone Rating the guy is average for his career as a SS (4.20, .972, .820) and 2B(4.96, .987, .776). In 08 he took a lot of innings at 3B where he is not particularly strong, it wasn't bad but not necessarily good.

Like I said before Bixler needs to play everyday. He won't get that at the ML level. Not with Jack on the team. If the team trades Jack or he gets injured, then Bixler or whomever is ready should get the opportunity to start. Vazquez wasn't brought here to start over any youngster. Unless they just are not ready or can't handle it.

Vazquez was brought in to keep Sanchez and Wilson fresh, to back them up in case of injury, be a late inning defensive replacement that won't hurt a team with his stick, and even used off the bench as a pinch hitter in certain situations. In other words provide affordable depth, that is not a significant drop off from the regulars.

Primarily he will be used as the MI back up. He shouldn't see much time on the corners. And like I said he should see very few AB's against Left handed pitchers, none would be preferred, but that's very unlikely.

2 million a year on a quality MI backup/bench guy, that plays to the home park strength and actually division park factors, has the potential to really pay off. If nothing else he's league average, which works cause the investment doesn't kill us and we need it anyway. So 1 million on a Gomez or Rivas who couldn't play SS, or 2 million who over the course of a season sees action in maybe 80-90 games
 
January 09, 2009
Votes: +0

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