A simple question E-mail
Written by Pat Lackey   
Wednesday, 07 January 2009 01:02

So I'm sitting here watching the MLB Network tonight (featuring Trenni Kusnierek, who's probably more popular among long-time WHYGAVS readers than any ex-Pirate not nicknamed Thor) and Al Lieter, Harold Reynolds, and Joe Magrane just did a "free agent pitcher draft" for the Pirates, Padres, and Reds. Lieter, who's a pretty astute guy, represented the Pirates and picked Oliver Perez with his first pick.

Now, this whole exercise was hypothetical, but I thought about it a bit and really, Ollie is the ultimate Neal Huntington project. He's got a better arm than probably 95% of everyone in the majors, he runs up a ton of strikeouts, and he's hard as hell to figure out. I think Joe Kerrigan could potentially do a lot of good for him, just like Rick Peterson did in New York. Plus, picking Perez up probably lets a guy like Ohlendorf go to the pen, where he's probably best suited to be. So the question is, if the price was right, would you want Oliver Perez back in a Pirate uniform?

Comments
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bwzimmerman     |2009-01-06 19:18:18
HELLS TO THE YEAH.
i'd be happy to dust off my old sombrero.

Glen     |2009-01-07 06:45:24
It would be great to have Perez back
Emma     |2009-01-07 08:54:50
OLE OLE OLE OLE

Good times.
Tiiimmmmmmmmmyyyyyy     |2009-01-06 19:32:21
Personally, the answer is absolutely. A one-two punch of Ian Snell and Oliver
Perez, why, they would be guaranteed to give any psychiatrist nightmares. That
would be quality entertainment. So does anyone know the whereabouts of one Jose
Manzanillo?

But in all honesty, I will always be mesmerized by the potential
that Ollie has shown glimpses of having, and in my mind, I would much rather
watch Perez than Karstens, or Ohlendorf, or the mismash of pitching machines
that were trotted out to the mound last year.
dave     |2009-01-06 21:30:03
really shouldnt get my hopes up but this would be awesome. i loved ollie
Nate     |2009-01-07 02:18:59
Yes. I never wanted him to leave in the first place.
BigE     |2009-01-07 08:13:10
Yep. Bring him back. Untapped potential is still potential. Look how long Ryan
and Koufax took to become Ryan and koufax.

OTOH, I don't see Nutting ponying
up the cash.
UtesFan89     |2009-01-07 03:02:51
Definitely.
Tim     |2009-01-07 03:06:02
Amen, brothers and sisters.
gregschuler     |2009-01-07 03:22:06
At what price? Perez is holding out for a long term contract worth 8 figures
annually. And he'll likely get the eight figures annually, though maybe on a
shorter 2-3 year deal. So would the Pirates be wiling and able to offer, say 5
years, 55 million total contract worth to sign Perez? Probably not. And would
Perez even consider coming back to Pittsb urgh after being at least competitive
with the Mets? Unlikely.

In short no - and this contradicts a lot of what
people were saying earlier about rebuilding. Again, I personally am in favor of
acquiring talent through all means available, so in that context, adding Oliver
Perez makes some sense.
Emma     |2009-01-07 03:51:30
OBVIOUSLY YES

I was actually just saying this the other day. But I make no
bones that I am biased because I adore Ollie and that trade was nonsense and we
really should still have him in the first place.

I can see him holding out for
some ridiculous amount of money, because he's Ollie and he's insane, but if he
doesn't I would love to see him come back.
Greg     |2009-01-07 04:10:11
Although it would be nice if the Bucs would actually spend some money and
bring a good free agent pitcher in .. the odds of Ollie even wanting to return
to Pittsburgh would be somewhere between slim and HELL NO
Dr. Mattitude     |2009-01-07 04:19:46
As long as he still does his silly "Praying Mantis" stance when he's got
2 strikes on a batter... I'd love it!
w.k. kortas     |2009-01-07 04:49:09
It's an interesting conundrum...although it seems Ollie's been around forever,
he is only 27, so (in theory, at least) he would likely still be at his peak
when the Bucs are ready to contend, so it's not like signing a Derek Lowe or
someone of that ilk/age group. Still...just what is Perez' peak? Except for
his one big year in Pittsburgh and (to a lesser extent) 2007, he's never been
anything special--and certainly not consisent. Plus, as Mr. Schuler points out,
he's certainly not coming at a discount. If the Pirates were in a position to
contend in 2009, I'd say he's very much worth the gamble. At this point, I'd be
lukewarm at best to the idea.
afail     |2009-01-07 05:03:02
I can't believe we have not signed him yet, he makes perfect sense for us. But
he would cost money and that is not good
jz     |2009-01-07 05:59:21
i like ollie but his inconsistency drove me crazy. he can go 8 no hit innings or
not make it out of the 3rd..this team needs a proven commodity. the whole staff
is inconsistent (aside from maholm), i'd rather have a guy like garland who eats
innnings.

i do agree though, that we need a power pitcher that strikes out
guys. perez does fit that bill.
Bucco Rick     |2009-01-07 06:33:00
Scott Boras is all you need to know! I like the idea but not at outrageous
dollars that will surely be paid.
azibuck     |2009-01-07 06:38:55
The notion does seem counter to staying the rebuilding course, but that assumes
Ollie would cost more than what most flotsam is getting, and for longer.

But
I'd say yes at the right price and the right terms. I'm not confident that Ohlendorf or Karstens will work in any role, so I
still think we're going to need a pitcher to eat innings over the next year or
two at least. If it gets late and it's a real buyer's market next month, I'd be
comfortable with signing him for 1-2 years.
Mark     |2009-01-07 07:18:32
I never wanted to see him go.

I'd tend to disagree with those that say he would
contradict the rebuilding process. Good pitching is always hard to come by, and
I don't see the price coming down in the coming years.

If we signed him to a
3 year deal in the $10-11 million range, he'd still only be 30 at the end of the
contract, and likely fall into the Pirates (hopeful) window of contention.
Bishop     |2009-01-07 07:45:33
No, no, a thousand times no, only because I am adamantly opposed to this team
spending any money on free agents at this juncture. The Pirates are not in any
position to contend for even a wildcard berth in 2009, no matter how many free
agents they bring in.

IMHO, they would not recoup the investment over current
options by bringing in Perez. Say they pay him 10 million per year to come
here. He comes with a career ERA of 4.39, 96 ERA+ and a WHIP of 1.42, all of
which point to the very epitome of mediocrity.

Funny thing is, the Pirates
already have a guy with a career ERA of 4.39, 96 ERA+ and a WHIP of 1.50, that
being Zach Duke. Prevailing wisdom is that Duke sucks monkey junk, but he'll
still probably get 1-2 million in arbitration.

Why is it that everyone is
so quick to run out and give Ollie 10 million but would love to throw Duke to
the curb? If both Duke and Perez put up identical numbers to his career
mocasdad     |2009-01-07 08:21:08
I'm surprised Pat would even offer this for discussion. Doesn't this fly in the
face of the whole "why spend big money now for someone who will be gone (if
and) when we get good three or four years from now" theory - which I don't
disagree with, in case my tone suggested otherwise. I don't see how you can
emphatically defend the Bay trade and then even consider something like
this.

To further consolidate my position, I think it would be lunacy to go
more than the 2-3 years someone above suggested - for most if not all pitchers,
and most certainly for Ollie. As was also suggested, Ollie will certainly ask
for, and may very well command, an 8-figure per year sum.

And, not for
nothing, he's a Boras client. Coonelly would love that.
appealtosmail     |2009-01-07 09:31:10
While I think it would be fun to see him back I don't think the dough he'll
command would be in line with what management is trying to do. It's a big gamble
whether he'll be boom or bust. What I really don't want to see is 2 articles a
day for 2 weeks like: "Pirates one of three teams in running for Perez",
then the inevitable: "Bucs lose out on Perez". That bit is getting old.
thegunner     |2009-01-07 09:45:03
What can Ollie do for you?

Let's see. 30 starts at a $10 million salary ---
that's about $333,000 per start.

Now if Ollie 'packs' an additional 2,000
people into PNC on the nights he pitches, that's an additional $60,000 (figuring
$30/head).

That's a shortfall of "only" $270,000+ per start --- but
just think of all the Ollie merchandise he will sell, not to mention the fact
that he "might" keep the Pirates in contention until mid-May.

And
you know that Ollie's going to have a good outing every three or four
starts.

Makes sense to me!!!!
thegunner     |2009-01-07 09:45:52
Correction --- that's a $10 million salary!
thegunner     |2009-01-07 09:47:29
You do the math since this site doesn't seem to like to accept numbers!
thegunner     |2009-01-07 09:56:10
LAST TRY!

$10 million salary

$333,000+ per start

extra 2,000 people per
start at $30/head

$270,000+ shortfall per start

Priceless!
thegunner     |2009-01-07 09:57:26
Make up your own numbers!
Bishop     |2009-01-07 10:30:58
gunner - the site hates dollar signs! I've flat-out given up trying to plug
them into my posts, since I always seem to be putting the information into later
posts.

If they could get Ollie for no more than 3-4 million per year, I'd
reluctantly accept that, based on your conjecture that people might actually
show up to the ballpark to watch him and he would generate some enthusiasm in
the casual fanbase. There's no way on earth Boras lets him sign for so little,
so I'm pretty confortable in saying that since I'm not really retracting my
"no free agents" stance.
Ryan     |2009-01-07 10:50:06
At this point, why not? I'd be for it. The Pirates can't screw him up anymore
than we did the first time. Man, what a bizarre return that would be for him and
fans.
Ryan     |2009-01-07 10:52:25
Also, think about this. FSN could bring back the old commercial of him burning
the cookies that were little batters.....

"Throw in some junk, mix it up,
then turn on the heat...LOTS of heat! Oops, I burnt them again."

Absolutely
classic.
Pat     |2009-01-07 11:50:25
I think the dollar signs are part of the short-hand coding and that's why they
don't work in the comments. I'll look at them and see if I can change it.


Ryan- seriously, my favorite Pirate commercial of all time. I think if they
paid him 10 million a year to sign him just to put that back on the air, it
might be worth it.

OK, not really, but you get the point.
Deaner     |2009-01-07 13:23:50
Yes, if the price is right, I would love to see Ollie back in the black & gold.
Better yet... my bobblehead would no longer be outdated.
BigE     |2009-01-07 17:51:54
This site cannot accept dollar signs and numbers because it is dedicated to a
team that knows nothing about such things!
gregschuler     |2009-01-08 03:31:45
That's a winner, right there. Comment of the year.
jason     |2009-01-08 13:24:15
To be honest, I'd rather see Trenni back in Pittsburgh.

"Throw een some
junk..."
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